Mathematics of Trading: Modeling Randomness
From random walks to Monte Carlo simulation - how to mathematically model market randomness and evaluate strategy robustness.
I'm a software engineer focused on building reliable, deterministic real-time and trading systems. My work spans system design, implementation, deployment, and production operations, with an emphasis on correctness, observability, performance stability, and failure-aware architecture.
I'm particularly interested in probability, statistics, machine learning, and fault-tolerant distributed systems, and in how financial markets behave as high-dimensional, non-stationary systems whose structure evolves over time. Rather than "solving" markets, I focus on building robust systems for exploring, testing, and operating within them.
This site documents my projects, experiments, and technical notes on trading, systems engineering, and quantitative research.
From random walks to Monte Carlo simulation - how to mathematically model market randomness and evaluate strategy robustness.
Why profitable strategies still hurt - understanding variance, drawdowns, risk of ruin, and the mathematics of survival.
The shapes of uncertainty - understanding variance, skewness, fat tails, and why distributions matter more than averages.
What it means to have an edge in markets, where edges come from, and why tiny advantages compound dramatically.
The single most important idea in trading - how to mathematically define favorable decisions and navigate uncertainty.
Living with randomness - why markets feel unpredictable, what uncertainty actually means, and how it shapes trading decisions.
A practical guide to understanding markets through randomness, probability, and uncertainty.