Mathematics of Trading: Modeling Randomness
From random walks to Monte Carlo simulation - how to mathematically model market randomness and evaluate strategy robustness.
Hey, I build things - systems, tools, products, and the occasional experiment that sends me down a rabbit hole. Over the years, I've worked across the stack - frontend, backend, infrastructure, deployment. I also created Granova, a platform for grocery stores.
What really draws me in are probability, statistics, machine learning, and the way financial markets behave like a huge math problem - a high-dimensional, non-stationary system where the structure keeps changing as you study it. It's far too complex to "solve" but endlessly fun to explore.
This site is where I post projects, notes, and whatever else I'm thinking about.
From random walks to Monte Carlo simulation - how to mathematically model market randomness and evaluate strategy robustness.
Why profitable strategies still hurt - understanding variance, drawdowns, risk of ruin, and the mathematics of survival.
The shapes of uncertainty - understanding variance, skewness, fat tails, and why distributions matter more than averages.
What it means to have an edge in markets, where edges come from, and why tiny advantages compound dramatically.
The single most important idea in trading - how to mathematically define favorable decisions and navigate uncertainty.
Living with randomness - why markets feel unpredictable, what uncertainty actually means, and how it shapes trading decisions.
A practical guide to understanding markets through randomness, probability, and uncertainty.